The Super Upside Factor

A practical playbook to maximise luck in life and career

Venture capitalists manage to raise and invest trillions of dollars despite being wrong most of the time through asymmetric bets, where a few big wins outsize losses by factors of 1,000x.

In The Super Upside Factor, Daniel Kang draws on his experience as a venture capitalist at Softbank Vision Fund and as a Y Combinator-backed founder to adapt asymmetric principles for personal and professional life. He offers a clear framework for maximising luck and generating outsized returns—what he calls Super Upsides. Through vivid, real-life experiments, Kang demonstrates how he put these principles into practice—from securing a book deal by writing just 15 minutes a day, to recovering from a spiralling plane as a pilot, to raising millions by betting on a pivotal career shift.

This book draws upon the author’s firsthand experience going from having no money, network, or looks to a highly successful career in entrepreneurship and venture capitalism. In this book, readers will find discussions on:

• Core concepts like the multiplier effect and black swans
• Probabilities, biases, and luck, and how to make them work for you, not against you
• Tools and first steps to create a "life portfolio" of uncapped upsides and unlimited opportunity

Backed by decision science research and personal experiments, the book strikes a balance between theory and practical advice, guiding readers to identify and optimise skewed life bets. Beyond the tactical elements, Kang explores the human side of applying these principles, including discussions on mental health, emotional struggles, and even tactically quitting.

The Super Upside Factor will inspire readers—even the most risk-averse—to realise they are only a few Super Upsides away from extraordinary success and provides precise asymmetric principles needed to stack the odds in their favour.