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Paul Marsh

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  • Triumph of the Optimists
    Investors have too often extrapolated from recent experience. In the 1950s, who but the most rampant optimist would have dreamed that over the next fifty years the real return on equities would be 9 percent per year? Yet this is what happened in the U.S. stock market. The optimists triumphed. However, as Don Marquis observed, an optimist is someone who...
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