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The Fourth Turning Is Here

What the Seasons of History Tell Us about How and When This Crisis Will End
By Neil Howe
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Brief Description
The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this “riveting and revelatory” (Tony Robbins) prophecy for how our present era of unrest will resolve over the next ten years—and what our lives will look... Read More
Format: Paperback / softback
$5900

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The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this “riveting and revelatory” (Tony Robbins) prophecy for how our present era of unrest will resolve over the next ten years—and what our lives will look like afterward.

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The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this “riveting and revelatory” (Tony Robbins) prophecy for how our present era of unrest will resolve over the next ten years—and what our lives will look like afterward.

Thirty years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life. Each cycle is composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each lasts about twenty years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilisation as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.

Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived… and Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us—the polarisation, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war—will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America’s next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

“Big history and bold futurology” (The Wall Street Journal), The Fourth Turning Is Here takes us deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis. It explores how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we’ll face in the decade to come, and reveals how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges ahead.

Book Details

INFORMATION

ISBN: 9781982173746

Publisher: Simon & Schuster

Format: Paperback / softback

Date Published: 15 January 2026

Country: United States

Imprint: Simon & Schuster

Illustration: 15 b-w chart t-o;

Audience: General / adult

DIMENSIONS

Spine width: 36.0mm

Width: 152.0mm

Height: 229.0mm

Weight: 515g

Pages: 592

Collections

Education & Reference Neil Howe Non-Fiction Politics & Current Affairs

About the Author

Neil Howe is a historian, economist, and demographer who writes and speaks frequently on generational change, American history, and long-term fiscal policy. He coauthored seven books with William Strauss, including Generations, 13th Gen, The Fourth Turning, and Millennials Rising. In 1991, Howe and Strauss coined the term “Millennial Generation.” Howe’s other books include On Borrowed Time (with Peter G. Peterson) and The Graying of the Great Powers (with Richard Jackson). He is managing director of demography for Hedgeye, an investment advisory firm. He is also a senior associate at the Center for Strategic and International Studies and at the Global Aging Institute. He grew up in California and holds graduate degrees in history and economics from Yale University. He lives with his family in West Virginia.

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  • The Fourth Turning
    NATIONAL BESTSELLER. Discover the game-changing theory of the cycles of history and what past generations can teach us about living through times of upheaval—with deep insights into the roles that Boomers, Generation X, and Millennials have to play—now with a new preface by Neil Howe. "One of the best efforts to give us an integrated vision of where we are...
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