The Fourth Turning Is Here

The visionary behind the bestselling phenomenon The Fourth Turning looks once again to America’s past to predict our future in this “riveting and revelatory” (Tony Robbins) prophecy for how our present era of unrest will resolve over the next ten years—and what our lives will look like afterward.

Thirty years ago, Neil Howe and the late William Strauss dazzled the world with a provocative new theory of American history. Looking back at the last 500 years, they uncovered a distinct pattern: modern history moves in cycles, each lasting roughly eighty to one hundred years, the length of a long human life. Each cycle is composed of four eras—or “turnings”—that always arrive in the same order and each lasts about twenty years. The last of these eras—the fourth turning—was always the most perilous, a period of civic upheaval and national mobilisation as traumatic and transformative as the New Deal and World War II, the Civil War, or the American Revolution.

Now, right on schedule, our own fourth turning has arrived… and Neil Howe has returned with an extraordinary new prediction. What we see all around us—the polarisation, the growing threat of civil conflict and global war—will culminate by the early 2030s in a climax that poses great danger and yet also holds great promise, perhaps even bringing on America’s next golden age. Every generation alive today will play a vital role in determining how this crisis is resolved, for good or ill.

“Big history and bold futurology” (The Wall Street Journal), The Fourth Turning Is Here takes us deep into the collective personality of each living generation to make sense of our current crisis. It explores how all of us will be differently affected by the political, social, and economic challenges we’ll face in the decade to come, and reveals how our country, our communities, and our families can best prepare to meet these challenges ahead.